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Nvidia Excludes China from Financial Forecasts | Tech News

June 13, 2025
Nvidia Excludes China from Financial Forecasts | Tech News

Nvidia's Outlook on U.S. Chip Export Restrictions to China

Nvidia anticipates that the United States will likely maintain its current restrictions on chip exports to China for the foreseeable future.

This assessment is firm enough that the company is excluding potential revenue from the Chinese market when projecting future financial performance, as stated by CEO Jensen Huang in a recent CNN interview.

No Expectation of Policy Reversal

Huang indicated that the company isn't factoring in a reversal of the chip export controls implemented by the previous administration. Any such change would be considered a beneficial, though unexpected, development.

Licensing requirements were introduced by the Trump administration in April for Nvidia’s H20 chips, representing the most sophisticated AI chip available for sale to Chinese entities.

Financial Impact of Restrictions

Nvidia reported in its first-quarter earnings that these export restrictions are expected to cause an approximately $8 billion decrease in revenue during the second quarter.

A company spokesperson reiterated Huang’s statements regarding China, referencing his comments made during the Q1 earnings conference call when asked for further clarification.

Key Takeaways

  • Nvidia is not anticipating a change in U.S. policy regarding chip exports to China.
  • The company has adjusted its financial forecasts to reflect these ongoing restrictions.
  • The H20 chip is specifically affected by the export controls.
  • Nvidia estimates an $8 billion revenue impact in the second quarter.
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